Monetarists
Amir Mansour Tehranchian
Volume 7, Issue 27 , July 2017, , Pages 95-110
Abstract
In this survey, the perfect capital mobility has been examined on the basis of saving incidence on gross capital formation in selected Asian countries during (2005-2012). For this aim, panel data based on generalized method of moments (GMM) is used to examine the model. The empirical results show that ...
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In this survey, the perfect capital mobility has been examined on the basis of saving incidence on gross capital formation in selected Asian countries during (2005-2012). For this aim, panel data based on generalized method of moments (GMM) is used to examine the model. The empirical results show that investment and savings changes are aligned in these countries and there is a positive relationship between them. According to empirical results, one percent rise in saving will increase investment by 0.03 percent. So, assumption of perfect immobility of capital is not rejected in this survey. Despite the fact that imperfect capital mobility can decrease the effect of global economy volatility on domestic economy, but still effectiveness and efficiency of macroeconomic fiscal policy should be considered. According to traditional method of Mundell-Fleming, not only exchange rate system can influence the degree of macroeconomic fiscal policy effectiveness, but also capital mobility can be effective too. So, strengthing the legal infrastructure of foreign capital absorbtion and assurance, and domestic financial market development and reducing foreign investment risk can be effecive in incresing the degree of capital mobility.
Monetarists
amirmansour tehranchian; saedeh azizi saales; آرزو محمودی
Volume 7, Issue 26 , February 2017, , Pages 71-80
Abstract
The aim of this study is to investigate the effect of monetary index of thrift and hardworking (as cultural capital) on human capital in selected developing countries during 2005-2012.The data gathering method in this survey is based on library databases. Panel method is used to analysis the data and ...
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The aim of this study is to investigate the effect of monetary index of thrift and hardworking (as cultural capital) on human capital in selected developing countries during 2005-2012.The data gathering method in this survey is based on library databases. Panel method is used to analysis the data and test the hypothesis. In order to estimate the model, generalized method of moments (GMM) is used. The results show that indices of cultural capital (hardworking index and monetary index of thrift) have positive and significant effect on the human development index in short and long-term. Also the impact of cultural factors on the human development index is higher in the long term than the short term. The innovation of this survey is to use new cultural indices such as monetary index of thrift and hardworking index which are highlighted in foreign studies.
Ahmad Jafari Samimi; Mohammad Ali Ehsani; Amir Mansour Tehranchian; Saman Ghaderi
Volume 4, Issue 16 , November 2014, , Pages 40-21
Abstract
Keynesian economists has focused on three types of asymmetric effects of monetary policy: (a) asymmetry related to the direction of the monetary policy action (positive and negative), (b) asymmetry related to the size of the monetary policy action (large and small); and (c) asymmetry related to ...
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Keynesian economists has focused on three types of asymmetric effects of monetary policy: (a) asymmetry related to the direction of the monetary policy action (positive and negative), (b) asymmetry related to the size of the monetary policy action (large and small); and (c) asymmetry related to the phase of business cycle in place at the time at which this policy was adopted. This study based on third group, examines the asymmetric effects of monetary gap on inflation in high and low inflation employing a Markov switching regime and P-star model to explain the behavior of inflation in Iran during 1990Q2- 2011Q3. Also, due to the role of money in measuring money stock and monetary gap, simple sum and Divisia monetary aggregates have been used. The results show that the effects of monetary gaps in inflation regimes are not same and investigated asymmetric. Also, these effects in high inflation regimes are weaker than low inflation regimes that it is opposite with conventional view. This matter could be have the reasons as the interruptions of the monetary policy effects, the instability of money demand and more importantly, reduction in velocity of money due to the stagnation in Iran's economy and increase in speculative activities. It is suggested that the Central Bank design the appropriate policies with these regimes. Also, results show that Divisia compared simple sum monetary aggregates is more efficiently. Thus, it seems that Divisia monetary aggregates is a better proxy for examination of the role of money in macroeconomic policies.
Mahmood Yahyazadehfar; Amir Mansour Tehranchian; Mahyar Hami
Volume 4, Issue 16 , November 2014, , Pages 88-73
Abstract
The purpose of this paper is to study the impact of social capital on financial development in Iran. To do so, the statistical data were collected during 1984 to 2012 and vector error correction model was used. The number of annually judicial cases about returned checks and liquidity to real gross domestic ...
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The purpose of this paper is to study the impact of social capital on financial development in Iran. To do so, the statistical data were collected during 1984 to 2012 and vector error correction model was used. The number of annually judicial cases about returned checks and liquidity to real gross domestic product ratio were selected as proxies of social capital and financial development respectively. The results derived from Johansen cointegration test indicate that there is a long-run equilibrium relation between social capital and financial development in Iran. Also vector error correction model estimates show that social capital has a positively significant impact on financial development in Iran.
Amir Mansoor Tehranchian; Ahmad Jafari Samimi; Roozbeh Balounejad Nouri
Volume 3, Issue 11 , September 2013, , Pages 28-19
Abstract
This study is devoted to test the inflation persistence in Iran. For this purpose, respect to the time series data on inflation in Iran (1972 - 2011), Autoregressive Fraction- ally Integrated Moving Average model is used. The results of this study show that based on methods of maximum likelihood and ...
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This study is devoted to test the inflation persistence in Iran. For this purpose, respect to the time series data on inflation in Iran (1972 - 2011), Autoregressive Fraction- ally Integrated Moving Average model is used. The results of this study show that based on methods of maximum likelihood and modified maximum likelihood degrees of differencing, respectively, are d1=0.482 and d2=0.483. Therefore, based on these findings, the inflation persistence hypothesis is not rejected in Iran. Gradual vanishing of inflation shocks, possibility of inflation is structural and regard to monetary discipline is the most important recommendations of this study.